
\begin{table}
\caption{War type and change in group's ethnic status ranking (mixed-effect model)}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c }
\hline
 & Current & 1-year & 2-year & 3-year & 4-year & 5-year & 10-year \\
\hline
Intercept                       & $-1.1864^{***}$ & $-2.0237^{***}$ & $-2.6179^{***}$ & $-2.8665^{***}$ & $-2.7800^{***}$ & $-2.4320^{***}$ & $-3.4497^{***}$ \\
                                & $(0.2575)$      & $(0.4010)$      & $(0.5090)$      & $(0.6015)$      & $(0.6669)$      & $(0.7211)$      & $(1.0428)$      \\
Territorial war within country  & $-0.0026$       & $0.0086$        & $0.0211$        & $0.0276^{*}$    & $0.0120$        & $-0.0023$       & $-0.0142$       \\
                                & $(0.0071)$      & $(0.0097)$      & $(0.0116)$      & $(0.0129)$      & $(0.0140)$      & $(0.0149)$      & $(0.0191)$      \\
Governmental war within country & $0.0173^{*}$    & $0.0561^{***}$  & $0.0807^{***}$  & $0.0965^{***}$  & $0.1074^{***}$  & $0.1145^{***}$  & $0.1290^{***}$  \\
                                & $(0.0070)$      & $(0.0096)$      & $(0.0114)$      & $(0.0128)$      & $(0.0139)$      & $(0.0148)$      & $(0.0199)$      \\
Territorial war with group      & $0.0073$        & $-0.0005$       & $0.0015$        & $-0.0070$       & $0.0064$        & $0.0057$        & $-0.0212$       \\
                                & $(0.0104)$      & $(0.0142)$      & $(0.0168)$      & $(0.0188)$      & $(0.0204)$      & $(0.0217)$      & $(0.0278)$      \\
Governmental war with group     & $-0.0196$       & $-0.0390$       & $0.0085$        & $0.0522^{*}$    & $0.1510^{***}$  & $0.2216^{***}$  & $0.4792^{***}$  \\
                                & $(0.0146)$      & $(0.0200)$      & $(0.0238)$      & $(0.0266)$      & $(0.0290)$      & $(0.0310)$      & $(0.0405)$      \\
Democracy                       & $0.0131^{*}$    & $0.0249^{**}$   & $0.0294^{**}$   & $0.0344^{**}$   & $0.0416^{**}$   & $0.0467^{***}$  & $0.0445^{*}$    \\
                                & $(0.0060)$      & $(0.0087)$      & $(0.0104)$      & $(0.0117)$      & $(0.0127)$      & $(0.0135)$      & $(0.0179)$      \\
Country Population (log)        & $-0.0072^{*}$   & $-0.0075$       & $-0.0044$       & $0.0076$        & $0.0206$        & $0.0337$        & $0.0929^{***}$  \\
                                & $(0.0036)$      & $(0.0080)$      & $(0.0111)$      & $(0.0141)$      & $(0.0159)$      & $(0.0174)$      & $(0.0248)$      \\
Year                            & $0.0006^{***}$  & $0.0011^{***}$  & $0.0014^{***}$  & $0.0015^{***}$  & $0.0014^{***}$  & $0.0012^{**}$   & $0.0015^{*}$    \\
                                & $(0.0001)$      & $(0.0002)$      & $(0.0003)$      & $(0.0003)$      & $(0.0004)$      & $(0.0004)$      & $(0.0006)$      \\
Constituent election            & $0.0749^{***}$  & $0.0567^{*}$    & $0.0600$        & $0.0536$        & $0.0710$        & $0.1190^{**}$   & $0.0758$        \\
                                & $(0.0199)$      & $(0.0270)$      & $(0.0321)$      & $(0.0358)$      & $(0.0388)$      & $(0.0412)$      & $(0.0517)$      \\
Executive election              & $0.0022$        & $0.0431^{***}$  & $0.0289^{*}$    & $0.0162$        & $0.0029$        & $0.0112$        & $0.0152$        \\
                                & $(0.0070)$      & $(0.0095)$      & $(0.0114)$      & $(0.0127)$      & $(0.0138)$      & $(0.0147)$      & $(0.0197)$      \\
\hline
AIC                             & 1646.3156       & 12888.0571      & 19121.2914      & 23043.2426      & 25904.0486      & 28037.6911      & 31306.6944      \\
BIC                             & 1740.1314       & 12981.8303      & 19215.0193      & 23136.9237      & 25997.6880      & 28131.2899      & 31398.8330      \\
Log Likelihood                  & -811.1578       & -6432.0285      & -9548.6457      & -11509.6213     & -12940.0243     & -14006.8455     & -15641.3472     \\
Num. obs.                       & 18361           & 18296           & 18227           & 18156           & 18093           & 18032           & 15966           \\
Num. groups: countries_gwid     & 136             & 136             & 136             & 136             & 136             & 136             & 134             \\
Var: countries_gwid (Intercept) & 0.0037          & 0.0251          & 0.0570          & 0.1049          & 0.1430          & 0.1811          & 0.3644          \\
Var: Residual                   & 0.0631          & 0.1157          & 0.1627          & 0.2022          & 0.2377          & 0.2686          & 0.4010          \\
\hline
\multicolumn{8}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.001$, $^{**}p<0.01$, $^*p<0.05$}}
\end{tabular}
\label{tab:ethnicpwrrank}
\end{center}
\end{table}
